Surface water change detection via water indices and predictive modeling using remote sensing imagery: A case study of Nuntasi-Tuzla Lake, Romania

Abstract

Water body feature extraction using a remote sensing technique represents an important tool in the investigation of water resources and hydrological drought assessment. Nuntasi-Tuzla Lake, a component of the Danube Delta Natural Reserve, is located on the Romanian Black Sea littoral. On account of an event in summer 2020, when the lake surface water decreased significantly, this study aims to identify the variation of the Nuntasi-Tuzla Lake surface water over a long-term period in correlation with human intervention and climate change. To this end, it provides an analysis in the period 1965–2021 via hydrological drought indices and data mining classification. The latter approach is based on several water indices derived from Landsat TM/ETM+/OLI and MODIS full-time series datasets: Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Modified NDWI (MNDWI), Weighted Normalized Difference Water Index (WNDWI), and Water Ratio Index (WRI). The experimental results indicate that the proposed classification methods can extract relevant features from waterbodies using remote sensing imagery with a high accuracy. Moreover, the study shows a similarity in the evolution of surface water cover identified with the data mining classification and the drought periods detected in the flow data series for the Nuntasi and Sacele Rivers that supply the Nuntasi-Tuzla Lake. Overall, the results of our investigation show that human intervention and hydrological drought had an extensive impact on the long-term changes in surface water of the Nuntasi-Tuzla Lake.