On the Probable Maximum Precipitation Method

Abstract

Climate change is affecting the population’s life and activity all over the world. Precipitation is one of the meteorological vectors essential for normal plant growth and agricultural activities. The Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) concept is based on the evaluation, using a deterministic approach, of the upper limit of the precipitation at a location, in a given period. In this context, the study aims at determining the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) in Dobrogea, Romania, a region experiencing long drought periods. Since the Hershfield method, recommended by WMO, does not provide an appropriate PMP value for the study region, two alternatives are proposed. Comparisons are also provided.